The 2025 dry season is expected to feature less intense heat than 2024, with minimum and maximum average temperatures projected to be lower than in most previous years, according to a notification from the Ministry of Water Resources and Meteorology.

In a December 30 forecast, the ministry announced that it has been monitoring and forecasting global weather phenomena. 

Based on predictions of surface temperature variations in the western Pacific Ocean and equatorial regions, La Niña conditions are expected to decline from 60% to 40% between January and May, giving way to ENSO-neutral conditions, which are predicted to rise from 60% to 80%.

The ministry explained that these conditions will lead to cooler average minimum and maximum temperatures during the dry season, with pre-monsoon rainfall levels higher than in 2024. However, there will be an increase in thunderstorms and tornadoes during this period.

Additionally, the monsoon season in 2025 may start earlier than in 2024, likely in the first or second week of May. Temperatures during the monsoon season are also expected to be cooler than in most previous years.

“Rainfall during the monsoon season will be above the average of most years, with moderate to heavy rainfall levels well-distributed across the country. Thunderstorms and tornadoes will occur frequently,” it added.

The ministry urged citizens to conserve water during the first three months of the year, particularly in rural areas far from water sources, and to remain vigilant regarding weather conditions. Special caution was advised for the months of April and May, as thunderstorms and tornadoes are expected to be more frequent during this period.