Most of Bangkok’s property markets, including condominiums, office space and shopping malls, are expected to contract this year due to the fallout from the Covid-19 pandemic, but the warehouse and factory rental markets will thrive due to rapid expansion of e-commerce, property experts have said.

Nexus Property Marketing Ltd managing director Nalinrat Jaroensuphong said the condominium market in 2021 will continue to contract despite an increasing supply of new units – 33,000 to 38,000 – compared to 21,000 in 2020.

He said: “This is due to about 20 projects postponing their openings from last year to this year … We estimate that the total condominium supply throughout the year will be 674,000 units.”

Nalinrat said new condo projects this year would focus on smaller units at cheaper prices to match the current economic situation and the trend of buying a home in outer Bangkok compared to buying a condo in the city.

“However, if the government opens the country to foreign tourists from the third quarter, the economy should start to recover and demand for condos should rise slowly,” he added.

Nexus estimates that most of the condominium projects to open this year will have starting prices of between 1.2 and 2.5 million baht ($40,000 and $83,300) per unit, with the total sale price decreasing by five per cent, compared to four per cent in 2020.

Meanwhile, Nexus Real Estate Advisory Ltd managing director Theerawit Limthongsakul said demand for office space and space at shopping malls has declined since the first wave of Covid-19 last year as many companies still want their employees to work from home to avoid the risk of contracting the virus.

He said: “Last year, office and commercial space occupancy dropped from 94 to 91 per cent, compared to over 95 per cent in the last seven or eight years before Covid-19.

“However, demand for rental factories and warehouses has been increasing for the past four or five years, thanks to the rapid growth of e-commerce.

“It is estimated that the rental factory and warehouse markets have available space of four million sqm each. Rented factories could generate income of 200 baht per sqm per month, while rented warehouses could earn up to 150 baht per sqm per month.”

THE NATION (THAILAND)/ASIA NEWS NETWORK